Thursday 31 January 2019

Lego bricks are a better investment than gold bricks

a post by Mark Frauenfelder for the Boing Boing blog


299 Warm Gold, Drum Lacquered/Gold Metalized/Gold Laquered / Metallic Gold, by Ryan H./Twitter. Attribution 2.0 Generic (CC BY 2.0)

“We find that LEGO investments outperform large stocks, bonds, gold and other alternative investments, yielding the average return of at least 11% (8% in real terms) in the sample period 1987-2015”, write the authors of a study titled LEGO - The Toy of Smart Investors. “Small and huge sets, as well as seasonal, architectural and movie-based sets, deliver higher returns. LEGO returns are not exposed to market, value, momentum and volatility risk factors, but have an almost unit exposure to the size factor. A positive multifactor alpha of 4-5%, a Sharpe ratio of 0.4, a positive return skewness and a low exposure to standard risk factors make the LEGO toy an attractive alternative investment with a good diversification potential.”

[via Bonnie Burton's article, "Lego bricks outshine gold bars as investments, study finds" from CNet, January 28, 2019]


Why Wikipedia’s Medical Content Is Superior

an article by Stephen Harrison for Slate [via Library Link of the Day]

According to Wikipedia administrator and attorney BD2412, a lawyer using Wikipedia to brush up on the law itself would probably be committing malpractice. For example, if a defense attorney skimmed the Wikipedia page for assault but did not review the precise elements of that crime or tort in their jurisdiction, it would be so irresponsible (and lazy) as to likely rise to the level of professional misconduct. As an attorney myself, I’d be tempted to hurl a casebook at our hypothetical lousy lawyer and tell him to stop giving the rest of us a bad name.

The same rationale, it seems, would apply to the medical profession. Like most encyclopedias, Wikipedia typically functions as a launch pad that provides a general overview of a topic and points to further or original sources. But at least one new study suggests that Wikipedia is superior to other medical sources in at least one key respect: short-term knowledge acquisition. That is, when it comes to finding the right answers quickly, Wikipedia seems to lead the pack. This suggests a new way of thinking about the utility of the crowdsourced encyclopedia. Wikipedia delivers value not only by offering massive amounts of information with its nearly 5.8 million English articles so far, but by providing the means for even professional users to quickly identify and retrieve the most relevant information.

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The outcome of online social interactions on Facebook pages: A study of user engagement behavior

an article by Hamid Khobzi, Raymond Y.K. Lau and Terence C.H. Cheung, (City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon) published in Internet Research Volume 29 Issue 1 (2019)

Abstract

Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact of different ways of message framing on users’ engagement behavior regarding the brand posts on Facebook and to determine whether users’ thumbs-up and reply moderate this impact.

Design/methodology/approach
A panel data analysis was conducted on a panel with 11,894 observations on 850 unique brand posts from the Facebook pages of the world’s most valuable brands over a seven days window with two observations each day. A system of equations was estimated using ordinary least squares, Hausman–Taylor IV and seemingly unrelated regressions to test study’s hypotheses.

Findings
The empirical findings confirm that more positively and negatively framed comments result in increased users’ engagement. Also, an increase in thumbs-up ratio for neutrally and negatively framed comments results in less engagement. The reply ratio might also have a positive and negative moderation effect on the influence of neutrally and positively framed comments on engagement behavior, respectively.

Practical implications
This study provides an in-depth understanding of online social interactions on Facebook pages for firms’ managers and marketers. Online social interactions might be either harmful or fruitful for firms depending on the type of interaction and engagement behavior. Findings can help managers and marketer to improve their strategies for leveraging Facebook for electronic marketing.

Originality/value
This is likely to be the first study that examines the moderating effect of users’ thumbs-up and reply on the relationship between message framing and users’ engagement behavior. By providing robust findings by addressing issues like omitted variables and endogeneity, the findings of this study are promising for developing new hypotheses and theoretical models in the context of online social interactions.


The cooperative compliance model in taxation: what is the future?

an article by Tereza Rogic Lugaric (University of Zagreb, Croatia) published in International Journal of Public Law and Policy Volume 6 Number 2 (2019)

Abstract

Cooperative compliance programmes enable tax administrations to stimulate the taxpayer to cooperate and create a trust-based relationship, which is a precondition for voluntary tax compliance.

Such programmes have become a major part of the tax system in over 30 countries with few models serving as role-models.

The main objective of this paper is to explore the application of the cooperative compliance model using the methodology of comparison of five different ‘national’ models – US, Dutch, Australian, British and French.

Results demonstrate that it is possible to identify two conceptual approaches to cooperative compliance.


How prices, incomes, and discrimination affect the ways we use time

a column by Daniel Hamermesh and Jeff Biddle for VOX: CEPR’s Policy Portal

People combine goods and time in household production, and theory suggests that as their wage rates rise, they will substitute goods-intensive for time-intensive activities. However, it is not clear how activities that take essentially no, or minimal, amounts of spending, such as sleeping or watching TV, fit into the theory.

This column uses data from time diaries for the US, France, and Germany to demonstrate that not all non-work time is the same, and different components of non-work time respond differently to changing incentives.

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Ten Simple Techniques How to Control Anger

Oooo, I want some of that right NOW

The I read the blog post by Chato Stewart for the World of Psychology blog Mental Health Humor and reslised that it was going to take some hard work.

And the techniques are simple but turning them into a habit is not.

Read for yourself






Encounters with the centaur state: Advanced urban marginality and the practices and ethics of welfare sanctions regimes

an article by John Flint (University of Sheffield, UK) published in Urban Studies Volume 56 Issue 1 (January 2019)

Abstract

This article examines the relationships between advanced urban marginality and new forms of state craft to regulate marginalised populations, specifically Wacquant’s concept of the centaur state and the use of conditionality mechanisms in the British welfare state.

The article empirically explores the experiences and perspectives of welfare practitioners and subjects.

It finds some evidence of an inculcation of elite narratives and understandings of urban marginality and incidences of antagonism.

However, the orientations and ethical frameworks of those deploying or subject to processes of sanctioning within reconfigured welfare regimes are more differentiated and ambiguous than both governmental discourse and critical urban studies often suggest.

Full text (PDF 17pp)


Wednesday 30 January 2019

Reliability of Longitudinal Social Surveys of Access to Higher Education: The Case of Next Steps in England

an article by  Nadia Siddiqui, Vikki Boliver and Stephen Gorard (Durham University, UK) published in Social Inclusion Volume 7 Number 1 (2019)

Abstract

Longitudinal social surveys are widely used to understand which factors enable or constrain access to higher education.

One such data resource is the Next Steps survey comprising an initial sample of 16,122 pupils aged 13–14 attending English state and private schools in 2004, with follow up annually to age 19–20 and a further survey at age 25.

The Next Steps data is a potentially rich resource for studying inequalities of access to higher education. It contains a wealth of information about pupils’ social background characteristics—including household income, parental education, parental social class, housing tenure and family composition—as well as longitudinal data on aspirations, choices and outcomes in relation to education.

However, as with many longitudinal social surveys, Next Steps suffers from a substantial amount of missing data due to item non-response and sample attrition which may seriously compromise the reliability of research findings. Helpfully, Next Steps data has been linked with more robust administrative data from the National Pupil Database (NPD), which contains a more limited range of social background variables, but has comparatively little in the way of missing data due to item non-response or attrition.

We analyse these linked datasets to assess the implications of missing data for the reliability of Next Steps.

We show that item non-response in Next Steps biases the apparent socioeconomic composition of the Next Steps sample upwards, and that this bias is exacerbated by sample attrition since Next Steps participants from less advantaged social backgrounds are more likely to drop out of the study. Moreover, by the time it is possible to measure access to higher education, the socioeconomic background variables in Next Steps are shown to have very little explanatory power after controlling for the social background and educational attainment variables contained in the NPD.

Given these findings, we argue that longitudinal social surveys with much missing data are only reliable sources of data on access to higher education if they can be linked effectively with more robust administrative data sources. This then raises the question—why not just use the more robust datasets?

Full text (PDF 10pp)


Necrotecture: Lifeless Dwellings and London's Super‐Rich

Rowland Atkinson (University of Sheffield, UK) published in International Journal of Urban and Regional Research Volume 43 Issue 1 (January 2019)

Abstract

This article problematizes the relationship between the global super‐rich and processes of property development that have generated large volumes of underused residential space.

Evidence is presented to show that much of London's new skyline is underused or lies entirely empty, so that one interpretation of this new landscape of super‐prime residential development is that it is a kind of dead residential space or necrotecture. These relatively lifeless spaces can be interpreted as the particularly wasteful result of continuing rounds of international capital investment in the built environment and the overconsumption of housing and other resources by the super‐rich.

Necrotectural forms, seen in new towers and spectacular homes, appear to index a massive misdirection of development capacity, even as the city experiences a massive social crisis that continues to be played out in the wider housing market.

Full text (PDF 12pp)


Let's Get Real: Why I'm Done Pretending to Have It All Together

a post by Janis Kingsley for the Tiny Buddha blog


“If you’re not really happy, don’t fake a smile on my behalf. I’d rather you spill your guts with tears every day until your smile is real. Because I don’t care about the show, the disguise, the politically correctness. If you’re in my life, I want you to be in your own skin.” ~Stephanie Bennet-Henry

This is the story of my inner child, the insecure part of myself that I am ready to respect and recognize.

My thoughts and views are as follows: I’m not a superior mom, probably just an average psychologist, and am way too sensitive about everything. I have this view of myself, when challenged by others, as that insecure little girl who believed she didn’t measure up. I shrivel up and want to cry.

As I age, I think I am less likely to accommodate to please others, but I also have been more in touch with my vulnerability. It stirs things up in me when someone challenges a decision I made or when I am faced with uncertainty.

I want this to be known, and don’t want to pretend that I’ve got it all together, because I don’t.

I know that there are moments when I am victorious, such as when I was able to resign from a job where I didn’t feel respected or treated as valuable after fifteen years. That decision felt good, but it also left me with feelings of uncertainty and fear that haven’t quite resolved.

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Upward social comparison and depression in social network settings: The roles of envy and self-efficacy

an article by Yongzhan Li (Pingdingshan University, China) published in Internet Research Volume 29 Issue 1 (2019)

Abstract

Purpose
Previous research has linked upward social comparison on social network sites (SNSs) to depressive symptoms; however, the mechanism underlying this relationship remains unclear. The purpose of this paper is to explore the roles of envy and self-efficacy in the relationship between upward social comparison on SNSs and depressive symptoms.

Design/methodology/approach
Based on the social comparison theory and previous related literature, a moderated mediation model integrating upward social comparison on SNSs, depressive symptoms, envy and self-efficacy was developed and empirically examined based on the data collected from 934 Chinese high school students.

Findings
The structural equation modeling analysis shows that envy partially mediates the relationship between upward social comparison on SNSs and depressive symptoms, whereas self-efficacy moderated both the direct effect of upward social comparison on SNSs on depressive symptoms and the mediating effect of envy in the relationship between upward social comparison on SNSs and depressive symptoms.

Practical implications
The findings offer interesting implications for guiding adolescents to use SNSs properly. This study found that envy and self-efficacy act as a mediator and moderator, respectively, between upward social comparison on SNSs and depressive symptoms, indicating that reducing envy and enhancing self-efficacy should be feasible to alleviate the negative effect of SNSs use.

Social implications
In order to alleviate the negative effect of SNSs use, parents and educators should direct adolescents to view others’ achievements and happiness properly and manage to improve self-efficacy among adolescents with poor self-efficacy through effective training.

Originality/value
Through building and examining a moderated mediation model integrating envy and self-efficacy into the relationship between upward social comparison on SNSs and depressive symptoms, the present study advances our understanding of how and when upward social comparison on SNSs augments the risk of depressive symptoms among adolescents.


Are our fantasies immune from morality?

a post by Anna Cremaldi and Christopher Bartel for the OUP blog


“Light, colour, bright and neon” by Efe Kurnaz. CC0 via Unsplash

Immoral fantasies are not uncommon, nor are they necessarily unhealthy. Some are silly and unrealistic, though others can be genuinely disturbing. You might fantasize about kicking your boss in the shins, or having an affair with your best friend’s spouse, or planning the perfect murder. Everyone enjoys a dark little fantasy at some time. Which leads us to wonder, is it ever morally wrong to do so? Or, a better way to put the question, under what conditions is it morally wrong to fantasize about something?

A natural response to these questions is to answer flatly: no. It can never be morally wrong to fantasize about something simply because it is a fantasy. My imagination is not a space where morality intrudes. Rather, what happens in my imagination is my business, and no one else’s moral qualms should have bearing on this most personal space.

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Subsidising labour hoarding in recessions: New evidence from Italy’s Cassa Integrazione

a column by Giulia Giupponi and Camille Landais for VOX: CEPR’s Policy Portal

Labour hoarding – the practice of retaining excess employees during a negative shock – could potentially help firms avoid re-hiring and training costs when economic conditions improve and act as a form of insurance for workers.

This column uses Italian micro data to show how labour hoarding in the form of short-term work programmes can be beneficial despite being ineffective in the long term.

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A Real Dose of Hope When You're Feeling Hopeless

a post by Margarita Tartakovsky for the World of Psychology blog



You’re trying to find a job, and after way too many interviews, you’re still unemployed.

You’ve had a string of awful dates, and you’re convinced that you’ll never find your person.

You’ve repeatedly asked your spouse to work less or spend less or drink less and after promising to make a change, they still haven’t.

You have depression, and nothing seems to be helping.

And, so, you feel hopeless.

And you assume that this feeling of hopelessness carries with it some significant truth: your circumstances won’t improve, you should just stop trying, you might as well give up.

“Clients who are feeling hopeless often view their situation in a polarized, black and white way,” said Chris Boyd, a psychotherapist in Vancouver, Canada. His clients tell him things like, “Nothing I do is making a difference,” “My circumstances will never improve,” “What’s the point of even trying?” “The pain is never going to improve,” “I’m in a dark place and can’t get out,” “I’ll never be happy,” “I’ll never find love.”

Maybe these statements sound all-too familiar.

But these hopeless sentiments couldn’t be further from the truth.

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Tuesday 29 January 2019

Yes, “algorithms” can be biased. Here’s why

an article by Steve Bellovin in ars technica [with grateful thanks to Tara at ResearchBuzz: Firehose]

Seriously, it's enough to make researchers cry.


Newly elected Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) recently stated that facial recognition "algorithms" (and by extension all "algorithms") "always have these racial inequities that get translated" and that "those algorithms are still pegged to basic human assumptions. They're just automated assumptions. And if you don't fix the bias, then you are just automating the bias."

She was mocked for this claim on the grounds that "algorithms" are "driven by math" and thus can't be biased—but she's basically right. Let's take a look at why.

First, some notes on terminology—and in particular a clarification for why I keep putting scare quotes around the word "algorithm." As anyone who has ever taken an introductory programming class knows, algorithms are at the heart of computer programming and computer science. (No, those two are not the same, but I won't go into that today.) In popular discourse, however, the word is widely misused.

Let's start with the Merriam-Webster dictionary definition, which defines "algorithm" as:
[a] procedure for solving a mathematical problem (as of finding the greatest common divisor) in a finite number of steps that frequently involves repetition of an operation broadly: a step-by-step procedure for solving a problem or accomplishing some end
It is a step-by-step procedure. The word has been used in that sense for a long time, and extends back well before computers. Merriam-Webster says it goes back to 1926, though the Oxford English Dictionary gives this quote from 1811:
It [sc. the calculus of variations] wants a new algorithm, a compendious method by which the theorems may be established without ambiguity and circumlocution.
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Oil and gas in the UK – offshore decommissioning

a press release from the National Audit Office

Published January 25, 2019

Full report [in various formats] Oil and gas in the UK – offshore decommissioning

The government estimates that decommissioning the UK’s offshore oil and gas infrastructure will cost taxpayers £24 billion, although the actual cost is highly uncertain according to today’s report by the National Audit Office.

There are currently around 320 fixed installations – such as oil platforms – in the UK, primarily in the North Sea. To date, operators have recovered more than 44 billion barrels of oil and gas, but reserves are running out and tax revenues from production have declined significantly over the past decade.

Oil and gas operators in the UK are increasingly decommissioning their infrastructure, spending over £1 billion on this annually since 2014. The government allows operators to recover some of this expenditure through tax reliefs, by deducting costs from their taxable profits and potentially claiming back some taxes they have previously paid.

Tax revenues from oil and gas have declined from a recent high in 2011-12 due to lower oil and gas prices and operators incurring high levels of expenditure that is tax deductible. In 2016-17, the government paid out more to oil and gas operators in tax reliefs than it received in revenues, resulting in total repayments of £290 million. The Office for Budget Responsibility expects net annual receipts from the oil and gas sector to recover slightly, rising from £1.2 billion in 2017-18 to a projected £2.4 billion in 2022-23.

The Oil & Gas Authority (OGA), which was established as a new regulator and to work with the industry to reduce costs and find efficiencies, estimates that decommissioning will cost UK operators a total of between £45 billion and £77 billion.

HMRC forecasts that associated tax reliefs will cost the taxpayer approximately £24 billion from 2018-19 to 2062-63. The total cost of decommissioning to taxpayers could be higher because the government is ultimately liable for the cost of decommissioning assets that operators lack the financial resources to decommission. The Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy has acted to mitigate this risk by requiring nine operators to set aside a total of £844 million to pay for decommissioning in the future.

There is evidence that progress has been made against the government’s objectives for the oil and gas industry since the creation of the OGA in 2015. For example, the OGA estimates that operators have added 3.7 billion barrels to the forecast of recoverable oil and gas reserves in the UK, and its 2018 estimate of the cost of decommissioning projects fell 7% compared with its 2017 estimate, although an increase in the total number of decommissioning projects partly offset these reductions. However, it is difficult to isolate the impact of the OGA’s interventions from wider influences, such as economic conditions.

The NAO found that there are gaps in the government’s understanding of the costs and benefits of changes to the tax regime. HM Revenue and Customs has not historically calculated the total combined cost of decommissioning tax reliefs it has already given to operators. It plans to publish this information for the first time in January 2019. HM Treasury and HMRC told the NAO that they draw on a range of data, including that gathered by the OGA to assess whether changes to tax rules are maximising the oil and gas that operators extract. HM Treasury prepares five-year revenue forecasts for all tax changes but said it has not been able to separate out the impact of individual tax changes given the wide range of factors that influence production. It expects the tax regime to have an important influence on operators’ investment decisions.


Five key takeaways on UK household spending

a post by L:aura Gardiner for the Resolution Foundation blog

Yesterday [24 January] the Office for National Statistics (ONS) published its annual rundown of what UK households spend their money on. Quite a bit of the ONS’s analysis focused on who spends most on takeaways. But given household consumption is perhaps the most detailed and direct window on current living standards, there’s plenty more of interest in this treasure trove of information. Here are our five key takeaways (of the non-edible kind).

Household spending appeared to rise gently in the year to 2017-18
Average weekly household spending was £573 during 2017-18, a gentle 0.7 per cent increase on the previous year (after adjusting for inflation). As the blue line in the chart below shows, this means we’ve had five years of almost-continuous growth in real spending – a trend mirrored in household income data, and consumption aggregates from the National Accounts.

Growth in spending was skewed towards higher-income households last year
It will come as no surprise that richer households spend more than poorer ones. The chart below shows that in 2017-18 those in the top 10 per cent of incomes spent over four times more than the bottom 10 per cent. Although large, this gap is smaller than the income differences between the top and bottom – further proof that the rich save more of the money they have coming in.

Essentials comprise nearly half of spending for the lowest-income households, compared to less than a third for those on the highest incomes
Beyond the overall value of spending, what are households spending money on? The chart below splits average spending in each income decile into different categories, with darker bars showing those categories commonly classed as ‘essentials’ (housing, fuel, food and clothing). 49 per cent of spending in the bottom income decile was devoted to essentials in 2017-18, compared to 29 per cent in the top decile.

Households headed by younger retirees spend most per-person overall, but those in their 20s spend most on essentials
Household spending varies across the life cycle and peaks when adults are in their 30s and 40s, in a large part because these households tend to be larger due to bringing up children. To correct for this, the chart below presents spending on a per-person basis, showing that on this measure it is households headed by those aged 50-75 that spend most overall.

Household spending patterns provide a window on wider social, cultural and economic shifts
The rich detail provided by spending data means it can be illuminating to wider debates about how life and work in Britain are changing. Perhaps wishing to keep up with the current focus on Deliveroo-type jobs, the ONS’s publication shines a light on the £5.10 per week UK households spend on takeaways, which make up a greater share of ‘catering services’ spending for the young and those on lower incomes. It also shows that we spend less on alcohol than we did a decade ago and do more of our drinking at home. This chimes with the ONS’s earlier work on the decline of small pubs, as consumers increasingly favour larger ones that focus on gastro menus rather than actual booze.

Details under each of these headings can be found here together with graphs and charts




UK Benefits System Fails Mentally Ill Claimants ‘Disproportionately’ By Refusing Benefits

an article by Adam Bloodworth (Freelance News Editor) for Rights Info: Human Rights News, Views & Info

The UK benefits system’s Disability Living Allowance (DLA) has been designed to support people living with disabilities – but handouts may be unfairly benefiting claimants with physical injuries over those with mental illnesses.

According to new figures released from government data, claimants receiving benefits with a psychiatric condition are 2.4 times more likely to lose their disability living allowance than people with physical conditions.

The alarming figures have been unearthed by studying claimants that switched from receiving DLA payments to receiving personal independence payments, known as ‘PIP’ payments.

The findings were extracted from a data set of 237,000 people who switched from DLA to PIP payments between April 2013 and October 2016, and paint an alarming picture of benefits in Britain.

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Techies, trade, and skill-biased productivity

a column by James Harrigan, Ariell Reshef and Farid Toubal for VOX: CEPR’s Policy Portal

Economists have studied the nexus between labour demand, globalisation, and technology adoption for decades, but quantifying the relative importance of these factors is challenging.

Using firm-level data from France, this column proposes a new measure of productivity based on the number of workers in technology-related occupations.

It finds large effects of importing, ICT, and R&D on the relative demand for skilled workers through their effects on productivity. Interestingly, the demand for both skilled and unskilled workers rises when firms hire ‘techies’ or engage in offshoring.

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Making Friends with Failure

a post by Annabella Hagen for the World of Psychology blog



Many of us may have grown up with the idea that making mistakes is a bad thing. When we received a bad grade or things didn’t go as expected, we may have felt distressed as we told our parents about it. We worried about their negative reaction.

The urge to avoid errors goes back to an earlier time when our ancestors could not afford to make a mistake when they hunted for food or came across danger. Miscalculations cost people their lives in the olden days. Their minds were adept at helping them ensure they didn’t make deadly blunders.

In our modern world, we rarely need to be anxious about oversights that could cost us our lives, unless we have a high-risk job such as being a pilot or an operator of intricate machinery.

Errors happen, and they are part of our existence. When we experience a failure, we can learn from it and improve ourselves.

Some people may say that they cannot afford defeat. They feel anxious, embarrassed, or ashamed. They may conclude that if they make mistakes, others will not respect or accept them.

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Monday 28 January 2019

How I Overcame Childhood Emotional Neglect and Learned to Meet My Needs

a post by Sherise Tan for the Tiny Buddha blog


“In order to move on, you must understand why you felt what you did and why you no longer need to feel it.” ~Mitch Albom

“Your feelings are valid,” said my life coach during one of our sessions, as we were working on an issue I had with my parents.
I had to do a double take. My feelings are valid? She actually accepts them as they are?

Eventually it started to dawn on me: My parents never validated my feelings. This sudden revelation earlier this year threw me into a dark period of my life.

When I was growing up, my parents criticized me for being “overly emotional” and “too sensitive,” and I never felt they truly accepted me.

My whole family shied away from expressing emotions, so I learned not to express or talk about my emotions either. I felt deeply disconnected in romantic relationships and often didn’t want to depend on others for help. Something felt completely off in my life, but I just couldn’t put my finger on what.

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The "reverse supply chain": vast warehouses of deeply discounted, returned goods

a post by Cory Doctorow for the Boing Boing blog



When you return your unwanted Amazon purchases, they end up with discounters who sell them by the palletload at pennies on the dollar, and millions of "reverse supply chain" specialists bid on these pallets of miscellania, sort the usable from the useless, repackage it, and make it available for sale again.

The largest of these companies is Liquidity Services/liquidation.com, with 3.35 million registered users. Some of these are bargain hunters, but others are resellers hope to pan gold from the river of rejected trash and put it back on sale.

Predictably, there's a get-rich-quick cult that has sprung up around liquidation resellers, with a whole supply chain (geddit?) of hustlers who will sell you lessons on how to achieve financial independence through canny liquidation arbitrage.

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When rhetoric does not translate to reality: Hardship, empowerment and the third sector in austerity localism

an article by Hulya Dagdeviren (University of Hertfordshire, UK), Matthew Donoghue (University of Oxford, UK) and Alexis Wearmouth (Queen Mary University of London, UK) published in The Sociological Review Volume 67 Issue 1 (January 2019)

Abstract

Austerity localism powerfully explains dynamics of (dis)empowerment at the local level, especially regarding the autonomy and accountability of local authorities and third sector organisations (TSOs) in the UK. Yet these dynamics at institutional level have also a clear impact on individuals, especially the socio-economically vulnerable.

This is especially true in a time of cost-containment and welfare retrenchment.

This article addresses a gap in the literature by focusing not only on TSOs but also on the experiences of vulnerable individuals under austerity localism. The discussion is centred on two types of TSOs: foodbanks and advice/advocacy organisations.

Drawing upon primary qualitative data from three locations in England and Wales, the article argues that the emphatic rhetoric of empowerment within austerity localism, which others have shown to be problematic at the institutional level, does not translate into real-world empowerment for service users and other vulnerable individuals.

In making the argument the article contributes to work on expanding the analytical scope of austerity localism, as well as further exploring the roles and prospects of TSOs in the current long period of austerity in the UK.

Full text (PDF 18pp)


Monopsony in the UK

a column by Will Abel, Silvana Tenreyro and Gregory Thwaites for VOX: CEPR’s Policy Portal

Concentrated labour markets, in which workers have few choices of potential employers, reduce the wages of workers when they are not covered by collective wage bargaining agreements.

But these types of agreements have become much less common in the past 20 years.

This column uses employee-level data to show that even though UK labour markets have not on average become much more concentrated, concentration – which varies a great deal across regions and industries – is having a bigger impact on wages than before.

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Participating in a panel survey changes respondents’ labour market behaviour

an article by Ruben L. Bach (University of Mannheim, Germany) and Stephanie Eckman (RTI International,Washington DC, USA) Journal of Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society) Volume 182 Issue 1 (January 2019)

Summary

Panel survey participation can bring about unintended changes in respondents’ behaviour and/or their reporting of behaviour.

Using administrative data linked to a large panel survey, we analyse whether the survey brings about changes in respondents’ labour market behaviour. We estimate the causal effect of panel participation on the take‐up of federal labour market programmes by using instrumental variables.

Results show that panel survey participation leads to an increase in respondents’ take‐up of these measures. These results suggest that panel survey participation not only affects the reporting of behaviour, as previous studies have demonstrated, but can also alter respondents’ actual behaviour.

Full text (PDF 19pp)


You have 17 different facial expressions to show happiness (and that's reason to smile)

A post by Mary Jo Dilonardo for mnn [via the World of Psychology]

range of happy, smiling faces
From slight amusement to super excitement, there are myriad ways we express happiness. (Photo: (top row) Syda Productions/ (middle) mimagephotography/ (bottom) WAYHOME Studio/Shutterstock)

In the early study of emotional expressions, researchers believed humans only had six basic emotions: anger, disgust, fear, happiness, sadness and surprise. Later researchers believed there might be as many as seven or eight. Every emotion was shoehorned into one of those categories.

That didn't make much sense to Aleix Martinez, a cognitive scientist and professor of electrical and computer engineering at The Ohio State University.

“I always figured that was very strange for many reasons,” Martinez tells MNN. “First, it was a small number. But more important, why so many negative emotions and only one happy expression? We tend to be more happy than angry or disgusted.”

After a recent study that involved more than 7 million online images and 30 countries, Martinez found there are actually 35 different expressions that are recognized across cultures. Of these, 17 of them convey happiness.
“It was reassuring to me that we are a happier society and world than we thought,” Martinez says. “Almost half of the expressions we identified were positive ones.”

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Am I being a cynic? Sceptical about this?
Too right I am.
The images that were viewed were online. Why would I allow an online picture of me to show anger, fear, or any of the negative emotions? I’m not even sure how I would express fear facially in order for a photo to be taken.

The happy faces were nice though.



Which Types of Family are at Risk of Food Poverty in the UK? A Relative Deprivation Approach

an article by Rebecca O'Connell, Charlie Owen, Antonia Simon and Julia Brannen (UCL Institute of Education, London, UK) and Matt Padley (Loughborough University, UK) published in Social Policy and Society Volume 18 Issue 1 (January 2019)

Abstract

Not enough is known in the UK about how economic phenomena and policy changes have impacted families’ ability to feed themselves.

This article employs a novel way of identifying the types of UK families at risk of food poverty over time. Applying a relative deprivation approach, it asks what counts in the UK as a socially acceptable diet that meets needs for health and social participation and how much this costs.

Comparing this to actual food expenditure by different family types, between 2005 and 2013, it identifies which are spending less than expected and may be at risk of food poverty. The analysis finds the proportion has increased over time for most family types and for lone parents and large families in particular.

The discussion considers findings in light of changing economic and policy contexts and the implications for policy responses of how food poverty is defined and measured.


Sunday 27 January 2019

10 for today starts with a picture painted by Vermeer and ends on Libyan glass with lots to read on the way

Ten things you may not know about women and liberty
via the OUP blog by Jacqueline Broad and Karen Detlefsen

A Lady Writing by Johannes Vermeer. Public domain via Wikimedia Commons.
Imagine that you’re a married woman living in a bleak dystopian world in which you’re barred from higher education, you’re forbidden from owning your own property, you have no freedom of movement outside your own home, and your husband might sexually assault you at any time, with impunity.
Only three or four hundred years ago, this was not some fantastic fictional scenario from The Handmaid’s Tale. This was the historical reality for married women in western Europe (sadly, it’s still the reality of some women in some countries today).
But while the early modern era was a period of domination, oppression, and subjugation, it was also a period of resistance, criticism, and feminist protest. Our sisters of the past were much like the sisters of today: they could spot injustices, they got angry about them, and they wrote about how things could change.
Continue reading
Warning: Lots of lovely rabbit holes to fall down!

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'Paramedic ants' observed treating injured comrades
via the Guardian by Ian Sample Science editor
When the battle is done the victors head home, their march broken only to gather the wounded, who are hauled back to base for life-saving treatment.
Not a heroic scene from the second world war, but the daily grind for African Matabele ants, which leave their nests in the hundreds to launch raids on feeding termites – and risk life and limb in the process.
Researchers who study the ants have shown before that the social insects pick up their injured and carry them home. Now, the ants have been spotted caring for their casualties: cleaning their wounds and perhaps even administering antibiotics to fend off infections.
Continue reading

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A Short Analysis of Christina Rossetti’s ‘Spring’
via Interesting Literature
The meaning of Rossetti’s bittersweet spring poem
‘Spring’ is not one of Christina Rossetti’s best-known poems, but it is a fine poem about springtime. Rossetti (1830-94) celebrates the new life that the spring brings, as all of the ‘hidden life’ beneath the earth ‘springs’ into action, bursting forth upon the scene.
Continue reading

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Map of Pangea reveals which countries shared borders 300 million years ago
via Big Think by Jana Roose
Enter an ancient version of Earth, where Santa Claus lives in South Korea, Cuba is land-locked, and Antarctica and India share the same climate.
Trivia nights would have been a lot easier 300 million years ago. In the Early Permian Epoch, Earth had one just one ocean, Panthalassa, with one massive supercontinent in it, Pangea.
Continue reading

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Tracing the tangled tracks of humankind's evolutionary journey
via the Guardian by Hannah Devlin, Science correspondent
Our ancestry is still not entirely clear, although there is strong evidence for specimens such as Ardipithecus ramidus, centre, being a direct ancestor or very close to our lineage.
Our ancestry is still not entirely clear, although there is strong evidence for specimens such as Ardipithecus ramidus, centrebeing a direct ancestor or very close to our lineage. Illustration: Getty, Guardian Design Team
Let’s go back to the beginning. When did we and our ape cousins part ways?
Scientists are still working on an exact date – or even a date to within a million years. Like many of the big questions in human evolution, the answer itself has evolved over the past few decades as new discoveries, techniques and technology have provided fresh insights.
Genetics has proved one of the most powerful tools for time-stamping the split with our closest living relative, the chimpanzee. When our complete genomes were compared in 2005, the two species were found to share 98% of their DNA. The differences hold important clues to how long our lineages have been diverging. By estimating the rate at which new genetic mutations are acquired over generations, scientists can use the genetic differences as a “molecular clock” to give a rough idea of when the split occurred. Most calculations suggest it was between four to eight million years ago.
Continue reading Allow yourself plenty of time. Fascinating story.

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Wagon Lit
via 3 Quarks Daily; Lucy Lethbridge at Literary Review
Laura Ingalls Wilder’s captivating autobiographical novels may have been written for children, but they have become primers for mid-19th-century pioneer American history and the hard-won creation myth of a new nation. Even their titles – Little House in the Big WoodsLittle House on the PrairieBy the Shores of Silver Lake – bring with them the wholesome whiff of self-reliance in rural isolation, of the ingenuity of poor people struggling against the mighty vicissitudes of the natural world.
Continue reading

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The Healing Power of Owls
via Arts & Letters Daily: John McEwen in The Spectator
The elusive snowy owl in flight
The elusive snowy owl in flight
Owls, frontally eyed and nose beaked, look the most human of birds. Accordingly, they have for millennia been prominent in mythology and literature and their image continues to be commercialised beyond compare. They offer an author rich pickings, but in a competitive market a strong personal subtext is helpful. That improbable bestseller H is for Hawk told of a bird consoling and inspiring a daughter grieving for her father. Owl Sense has a mother finding a healing source in owls for herself and her worryingly ill son Benji. His Non-Epileptic Seizure Disorder (NEAD) took a disconcerting time to diagnose and is frighteningly unpredictable. Just how frightening is illustrated by his collapse on a bus as a 6ft, 16st student. For the remainder of the journey he lay motionless, stepped over and unreported by the passengers, with no alarm raised until arrival at the depot.
Continue reading

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Where Old, Unreadable Documents Go to Be Understood
via Library Link for the Day: Sarah Laskow in Atlas Obscura
A "commonplace" book from the 17th century.
A “commonplace” book from the 17th century. BEINECKE FLICKR LABORATORY/CC BY 2.0
On any give day, from her home on the Isle of Man, Linda Watson might be reading a handwritten letter from one Confederate soldier to another, or a list of convicts transported to Australia. Or perhaps she is reading a will, a brief from a long-forgotten legal case, an original Jane Austen manuscript. Whatever is in them, these documents made their way to her because they have one thing in common: They’re close to impossible to read.
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T.E. Lawrence and the forgotten men who shaped the Arab Revolt
via the OUP blog by Philip Walker

Used with permission of Anthea Gray
T.E. Lawrence, known as “Lawrence of Arabia,” has provoked controversy for a hundred years. His legend was promoted in the 1920s by the American Lowell Thomas’s travelogue; renewed in 1935 through his book Seven Pillars of Wisdom; and revived in 1962 by the epic film Lawrence of Arabia. The hype should not blind us to the fact that Lawrence’s contribution to the Arab Revolt of 1916-18 against the Turks was indispensable. His skills in organizing and coordinating, his daring and courage, his intuitive grasp of guerrilla warfare and how to harness it, his influence over Emir Feisal (the leader of Arab forces in the field), and his talent for manipulating his own leaders if necessary, were all crucial to the hollow success of the revolt.
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Mysterious extraterrestrial minerals discovered in the Sahara
via Boing Boing by Andrea James

Libyan desert glass is a material of unknown origin scattered across a large swath of the Sahara. Among it, scientists found Hypatia stones, a strange phosphorous-nickel alloy recently determined to be extra-terrestrial.
Continue reading


Saturday 26 January 2019

10 for today starts with a story about spiders (no image) and goes through some really weird stuff to end with a story about crabs

What fossils reveal about the spider family tree is far from horrifying
via the Guardian by Susannah Lydon
The discovery of a 100m-year-old spider ancestor with a whip-like tail, bearing a more than slight resemblance to everyone’s favourite parasitoid alien – the facehugger – gained a lot of media interest last week. Some arachnologists were upset by both the language of fear in the coverage (“creepy” and “horrifying” were popular descriptions) and by some folks expressing a desire to nuke it from orbit. It seems that despite (or perhaps because) of the intense responses that spiders evoke in people, there is always an interest in where and how they evolved.
Continue reading
The article starts with an image of a spider which I have not copied but if you can get past that then it's a very interesting article.

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A Short Analysis of A. E. Housman’s ‘Tarry, delight, so seldom met’
via Interesting Literature
Housman’s poem about fleeting happiness
Happiness doesn’t tend to stick around for long. As Dianna Wynne Jones put it, ‘Happiness isn’t a thing. You can’t go out and get it like a cup of tea. It’s the way you feel about things.’ But as Robert Frost observed, happiness makes up for in height what it lacks in length. A. E. Housman (1859-1936) was a poet of unhappiness (perhaps the English laureate of unhappiness), but in this short poem, he turns his attention to delight, remarking on how short-lived and rare it is:
Continue reading

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Fake news and the gatekeepers of truth
via 3 Quarks Daily: Kenan Malik in Pandaemonium
Lyonel-feininger-newspaper-readers
The painting is ‘Newspaper readers’ by Lyonel Feinenger.
Before Facebook, there was the coffee house. In the 17th-century, panic gripped British royal circles that these newly established drinking salons had become forums for political dissent. In 1672, Charles II issued a proclamation ‘to restrain the Spreading of False News’ that was helping ‘to nourish an universal Jealousie and Dissatisfaction in the minds of all His Majesties good subjects’.
Now, 350 years on, legislators across the world are seeking to do the same. Last week, the House of Commons digital culture, media and sport committee flew to Washington DC to grill representatives of big tech companies, including Facebook, Twitter and Google. The title of their session echoed Charles II: ‘How can social media platforms help stop the spread of fake news?’
Continue reading

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What makes film scores by John Williams so iconic?
via Big Think by Derek Beres
With his 51st Oscar nomination for Star Wars: The Last Jedi, composer John Williams has mastered the craft of the film score.
John Williams could have probably called it quits after scoring the first Star Wars movie, given the film’s cultural importance: the soundtrack was preserved by the Library of Congress for its historical significance. Yet the industrious grandson of department store owners and cabinetmakers attributes his prolific career to his family’s hands-on work ethic. The just-turned 86-year-old is looking at yet another potential Oscar this year for his musical contribution to Star Wars: The Last Jedi—his 51st Academy Award nomination.
Continue reading

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What happens when a volcano erupts?
via the OUP blog by Amelia Carruthers and Steven Fillippi

A gas plume arising from Augustine Volcano, 24 January 2006. Cyrus Read, Geophysicist USGS, Alaska Volcano Observatory, Public Domain via Wikimedia Commons.
Volcanoes are incredibly complex geological systems. They are capable of generating many dangerous effects in the form of lava flows, fallout, and lahars – as well as associated hazards such as seismic shocks, tsunamis, or landslides. About 500 million people currently live in regions of the world directly subject to volcanic risk, and it is estimated that about 250,000 persons died during the past two centuries as a direct consequence of volcanic eruptions. Almost 26,000 of these fatalities occurred in the past two decades, above all in developing countries. There is no way to stop a volcano erupting, but in order to keep people safe and manage volcanic risk, scientists need to assess the hazard levels of volcanoes (i.e. previous activity) using techniques such as geological mapping, sedimentological studies, petrologic studies, and structural studies. Part of this process is understanding exactly what happens when a volcano erupts, looking at both the direct and indirect hazards.
Continue reading

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Plagiarism Software Unveils a New Source for 11 of Shakespeare’s Plays
via Arts & Letters Daily: Michael Blanding in The New York Times
For years scholars have debated what inspired William Shakespeare’s writings. Now, with the help of software typically used by professors to nab cheating students, two writers have discovered an unpublished manuscript they believe the Bard of Avon consulted to write “King Lear,” “Macbeth,” “Richard III,” “Henry V” and seven other plays.
The news has caused Shakespeareans to sit up and take notice.
“If it proves to be what they say it is, it is a once-in-a-generation — or several generations — find,” said Michael Witmore, director of the Folger Shakespeare Library in Washington.
Continue reading

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Exceptional Victims
via 3 Quarks Daily: Christian G. Appy in The Boston Review
Exceptional Victims
Exactly a year before he was murdered, Martin Luther King, Jr., gave one of the greatest speeches of his life, a piercing critique of the war in Vietnam. Two thousand people jammed into New York’s Riverside Church on April 4, 1967, to hear King shred the historical, political, and moral claims that U.S. leaders had invoked since the end of World War II to justify their counterrevolutionary foreign policy. The United States had not supported Vietnamese independence and democracy, King argued, but had repeatedly opposed it; the United States had not defended the people of South Vietnam from external communist aggression, but was itself the foreign aggressor—burning and bombing villages, forcing peasants off their ancestral land, and killing, by then, as many as one million Vietnamese. “We are on the side of the wealthy, and the secure,” King said, “while we create a hell for the poor.”
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10 of the Best Poems of Farewell
via Interesting Literature
The greatest goodbye poems
Poets are often at their most poignant when saying goodbye – to lovers, to lost loved ones, or to a part of their lives they have left behind. Here are ten of the greatest poems about saying goodbye or farewell…
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European history and population mapped by year
via Boing Boing by Rob Beschizza

Cottereau: This video shows the borders and populations of each country in Europe, for every year since 400 BC. Vassal states and colonies are not included in the count of a country's population." What a mess! One thing I learned is how sparsely-populated Britain was in the Roman age.

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Gone fishin': decorator crabs use other species as fishing rods, study reveals
via the Guardian by Richard Aspinall
A decorator crab. The ‘fuzz’ on its legs is in fact an array of invertebrates, including hydrozoans.
A decorator crab. The ‘fuzz’ on its legs is in fact an array of invertebrates, including hydrozoans. Photograph: R Aspinall
Every night as the sun goes down, on the coral reefs of the Red Sea small, delicate and slightly fuzzy-looking crabs work their way through the maze of coral. They take up stations atop the corals’ outermost structures, exposing themselves to the current in the plankton-rich waters. These are decorator crabs, of the genus Achaeus, known for their peculiar habit of covering themselves with an array of invertebrates, including delicate hydrozoans: multi-headed creatures with tiny tentacled polyps that feed on plankton.
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Friday 25 January 2019

May innovation on plant varieties share agricultural land with nature, or spare land for it?

an article by Simon Bordenave  (AgroParisTech, INRA, Paris, France) published in International Journal of Agricultural Resources, Governance and Ecology Volume 14 Number 3 (2018)

Abstract

The development of more productive varieties has been at the core of the transformations of agriculture and its environmental impacts throughout the 20th century. Among the various environmental effects of agriculture, the ability to choose between wide, low-intensity agriculture, and concentrated, high-intensity one, is a crucial component of its impact on biodiversity conservation.

The impact of an innovation on land use and intensity of agriculture is thus an important determinant of its environmental footprint. The existing literature has studied how innovation modifies land use, but has not focused on how it changes production intensity.

The objective of this paper is to complement the existing analytical framework to account for the impact of varieties improvements on non-land inputs. It shows that innovation can simultaneously reduce land use and increase agricultural intensity only if it is biased towards one of these production factors, demand is elastic and production factors are hardly substitutable.


How to Be Loving Toward Yourself When You Actually Don’t Love Yourself

a post by Margarita Tartakovsky for the World of Psychology blog


Photo by Bart LaRue on Unsplash

You don’t feel great about yourself, so you assume you shouldn’t treat yourself great either.

Maybe you hate your body. Maybe you think you have way too many flaws. Maybe you’re mad at yourself because you have a knack for making mistakes when it really matters. Maybe you’re mad that you’ve already abandoned your New Year’s resolutions. Maybe you’re mad about a poor decision you made—last week or years ago. Maybe you think you’re broken and well beyond repair.

But being loving toward yourself doesn’t require being in love with yourself, said Stefani Reinold, MD, a board-certified psychiatrist, perinatal mental health expert, and eating disorders specialist with a singular mission to help women live their best life, free from self-limiting beliefs.

That is, you don’t have to be in love with “who you are, what you look like, or what you have,” Dr. Reinold said.

“So many individuals misunderstand self-care and self-love to mean that we either have to be lustfully in awe of every part of ourselves or that we have to be a bold, fierce, independent, assertive version of ourselves.”

Continue reading


Limits to trickle-down: Trump's tax-cut "boom" fizzles

a post by Cory Doctorow for the Boing Boing blog



Trump's multi-trillion-dollar giveaway to the richest Americans and largest US corporations led to a rise in GDP, but it was a short-lived sugar-high: the major effect was a trillion dollars in stock buybacks that padded the bottom lines of super-rich investors who barely touch the real economy (you can only own so many super-yachts and operating costs are funneled through offshore flags-of-convenience anyway).

But investment in “factories, software and new equipment” only rose modestly for a single quarter, and has now fallen again.

Continue reading


How serious is a devolved data deficit? A Welsh perspective

an article by Andrew Crawley (University of Maine, USA) and Max Munday and Annette Roberts (Cardiff University, UK) published in Local Economy: The Journal of the Local Economy Policy Unit Volume 33 Issue 8 (December 2018)

Abstract

Over the last decade the UK has seen greater fiscal devolution with both Wales and Scotland gaining additional powers. However, to date, such devolution has not been sufficiently accompanied by an increase in the production of more local economic data to assist policy-making choices.

The paper considers this issue by first exploring, in general, the availability of local economic data with a focus on Input–Output tables and trade statistics.

The case of Wales is then used to explore the problems associated with the lack of local economic data.

The paper suggests that not providing the means to assess how fiscal policy might impact economic performance could present a particularly serious challenge for devolved governments.

The conclusions discuss how a devolved data deficit might be overcome in a cost-effective manner.


The impact of Brexit uncertainty on UK exports

a column by Meredith Crowley, Oliver Exton and Lu Han for VOX: CEPR’s Policy Portal

Uncertainty over the future of the world trading system is at its highest since the introduction of GATT in 1947. The US-China trade war and suggestions that President Trump intends to withdraw the US from the WTO have significantly raised uncertainty in the global economy.

Meanwhile, uncertainty over the future of the UK-EU trading relationship spiked on 15 January when the UK parliament overwhelmingly rejected the negotiated terms of the UK’s withdrawal from the EU.

This column documents that an earlier period of heightened trade policy uncertainty for the UK – the period following the Brexit referendum in June 2016 – depressed the UK’s international trading activity, with some UK businesses choosing to not enter the EU market while others chose to exit.


Who Goes to College via Access Routes? A Comparative Study of Widening Participation Admission in Selective Universities in Ireland and England

an article by Katriona O’Sullivan and Delma Byrne (Maynooth University, Ireland) and James Robson and Niall Winters (University of Oxford, UK) published in Social Inclusion Volume 7 Issue 1 (2019)

Abstract

This article explores changing national widening participation (WP) policy and responses from Higher Education institutions (HEIs) from a cross-national perspective. Specifically, the use of contextualised admissions and the provision of foundation year programmes in selective universities in Ireland and England are the key foci of interest.

Using data gathered from WP students in two selective universities in Ireland and England, we explore how student characteristics differ according to the WP route undertaken.

In an attempt to generate more knowledge of how HEIs enact WP policy, we draw on interviews conducted with staff involved in admission decision-making to explore how those with responsibility for admission within each institutional context perceive the WP pathways and their aims. The findings highlight how important it is for selective universities to adopt multiple WP pathways given that the use of contextualised admission and the provision of foundation years attract quite diverse student intakes.

In both contexts, those entering through foundation years have experienced greater levels of disadvantage in terms of family history of education and family occupation compared to their contextualised admission counterparts. The qualitative findings reveal that those with responsibility for admission perceive the WP admission routes in different ways, highlighting a clash between institutional culture and the goals of WP.

Full text (PDF 14pp)


Thursday 24 January 2019

Pressures on children’s social care

a Press Release from the National Audit Office

Published: January 23, 2019
Full report: Pressures on children’s social care (various formats available)

In a report published today, the National Audit Office has concluded that the Department for Education does not fully understand what is driving demand for children’s social care, nor why there is such wide variation between local authorities in their children’s social care activity and costs, as it has not yet done the work to tie together available sources of information.

In 2017-18 655,630 children were referred to local authorities because of concerns about their welfare. This was a rise of 7% since 2010-11, slightly above population growth for children aged 0-17. However local authorities carried out 77% more child protection assessments. The reasons for this disproportionate increase in assessments compared with referrals are unknown.

The most expensive and serious cases, where children are taken into care, have risen by 15% since 2010-11 – more than double the rate of population growth. Local authorities expect to spend £4.2 billion on children in care in 2018-19, which is £350 million (9.1%) more than they budgeted for in 2017-18. There has been an increase in the use of residential care, but local authorities often lack suitable placements. Only 32% said they have access to enough residential homes for children aged 14 to 15 years, and 41% for those aged 16 to 17.

The Department does not fully understand what is causing increases in demand across all local authorities and, until recently, it did not consider this a fundamental part of its responsibilities. It has previously estimated that 41% of the increase in the number of children in need between 2009-10 and 2016-17 was due to population growth, however, it had not quantified the contribution of other causes to almost 60% of the increase. The Department has put in place a programme of reform. In late 2017 it commissioned with others external research which they hope will explain demand and variation, but this will not be ready before summer 2019.

The activity and cost of children’s services vary significantly between different local authorities. The rate of children in need episodes ranges from 301 to 1,323 per 10,000 children. There is even greater variation in the amount local authorities spend on children’s social care, ranging from £566 to £5,166 per child per year across different local authorities.

The NAO’s analysis suggests that local authority characteristics may account for 44% of the variation between different local authorities over time in how they respond to demand for children’s services. Different levels of deprivation could explain 15% of the variation between local authorities and a further 10% of this variation may be accounted for by changes which affect all local authorities equally at the same time, such as the introduction of a new policy. The relevant characteristics of local authorities and their areas will include custom and practice in children’s social care, local market conditions, and historical patterns of demand.

The report found no link between local authorities’ spending per child in need and the quality of services, as measured by Ofsted. Some services are rated “Good” by Ofsted with spending of £570 per head, while others receive the same rating with spending of £4,980. Similarly, there is no correlation between Ofsted ratings and changing numbers of child protection plans, nor do they provide any indication of how likely local authorities are to reduce the number of looked after children.

Local authorities’ spending power has reduced by 28.6% since 2010. They have responded by reducing spending on non-statutory preventative children’s services, including children’s centres, and increasing spending on statutory social work. For example, the number of Sure Start children’s centres has fallen by just over 500 since 2010. Local authorities which have closed children’s centres have not had any consequential increases in child protection plans.

The NAO recommends that the Department promptly improves its understanding of children’s social care and builds on the NAO’s own research and modelling to help it explain demand and local variations and improve the effectiveness of its decisions.


5 Things I Wish I Knew Before Trying to Lose Weight

a post by Timothy James for the Tiny Buddha blog


“You yourself, as much as anybody in the entire universe, deserve your love and affection.” ~Buddha

I struggled to maintain a healthy weight for a large part of my life.

Had I known these five things before my weight-loss journey, I would have had a much easier time shedding the pounds and would have realized that weight loss isn’t a magic fix-all solution to my issues.

If you’re trying to lose weight, perhaps some of my lessons will be helpful to you.

Continue reading because, even if the weight-loss issue does not affect you, these lessons are applicable in other areas of life as well.


The influence of social support on health and wellbeing among women with and without children

an article by Melissa Graham (La Trobe University, Melbourne, Australia) published in Journal of Social Inclusion Volume 9 Number 2 (2018)

Abstract

Social support is a significant determinant of health and well-being with poorer social support leading to poorer health outcomes.

Despite this, little is known about the impact of social support on health and well-being among women without children or how this compares to women with children. Drawing on data from 683 women, who participated in both Waves 1 (1997) and 4 (2006) of the Negotiating the Life Course study, aged 28 to 66 years (at Wave 4), regression models were used to examine the relationship between health and well-being and social support by motherhood status (mother or childless).

Dissatisfaction with the number of close friends was associated with poorer general health (rho = -0.23, p < 0.001). Women without children reported poorer general health than mothers even after controlling for potentially confounding variables (Exp(B) = 1.11, 95% CI 1.01 – 1.22).

Not mothering has implications for women’s health. Further investigation of the type, role and quality of social support within kin and non-kin relationships is required to better understand the role of social support on health and if this differs between women with and without children.

Full text (PDF 12pp)


New Research Raises Concerns About the Dangers of Marijuana Use

a post by Suzanne Kane for the World of Psychology blog



Whatever your personal position on the subject of marijuana legalization, whether for medical or recreational use, a growing body of research reveals concerns over the potential harms caused by cannabis.

The concerns are more than academic. With increasing public support (varying by demographic cohorts) for legalized marijuana, and 10 states legalizing recreational marijuana and 33 states where medical marijuana use is legal, the cannabis movement is just gaining steam.

A new Pew Research Center report shows that 6 in 10 Americans (62 percent) say marijuana should be legal. Millennials support legalized marijuana more than any other group (74 percent), followed b Gen Xers at 63 percent, and Baby Boomers at 54 percent. The Silent Generation shows the least support for legalized marijuana at 39 percent, although they have shown greater support in the last year.

Continue reading


Everyone is biased, including you: the play designed by neuroscientists

an article by Nic Fleming published in the Guardian

We all cling to beliefs despite the evidence. Immersive theatre experience The Justice Syndicate aims to show why

Justice Syndicate jury members debrief in Dundee Sheriff court after reaching their verdict.
Justice Syndicate jury members debrief in Dundee Sheriff court after reaching their verdict. Photograph: Drew Farrell

“It’s her word against his,” says a middle-aged male juror in thick-rimmed glasses. “Someone of his experience wouldn’t do something so risky.” A woman to my right says the defendant is probably guilty, but maybe not beyond reasonable doubt. “But why would she lie?” asks another female juror.

Eleven strangers and I are discussing whether renowned children’s surgeon Simon Huxtable tried to rape Sally Hodges, the mother of a former patient. She says he tried to kiss her and then force himself on her. Huxtable says Hodges made up the allegation after he spurned her advances. Mobile phone records show he was at her home for 26 minutes but he told police he was there for only 10. His browsing history reveals he has an interest in rape porn.

Continue reading believe me it is worth it.


More unequal, but more mobile? Earnings inequality and mobility in OECD countries

an article by Andrea Garnero (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), France; Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA), Germany; Université libre de Bruxelles (ULB, CEB), Belgium), Alexander Hijzen (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), France; Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA), Germany) and Sébastien Martin (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), France)  published in Labour Economics Volume 56 (January 2019)

Highlights


  • On average across countries, only 20% of earnings inequality in a given year evens out over the life cycle as a result of mobility.
  • The bulk of earnings inequality at a given time is permanent.
  • Mobility and inequality are positively correlated across countries.
  • International differences in life-time inequality tend to be less pronounced than inequality differences in a given year.

Abstract

This paper provides comprehensive cross-country evidence on the relationship between earnings inequality and intra-generational mobility by simulating individual earnings and employment trajectories using short panels for 24 OECD countries.

On average across countries, only 20% of earnings inequality in a given year evens out over the life cycle as a result of mobility. This suggests that the bulk of earnings inequality at a given time is permanent.

Moreover, mobility and inequality are positively correlated across countries, suggesting that international differences in life-time inequality tend to be less pronounced than inequality differences in a given year. The positive correlation is largely driven by employment mobility – movements between employment and unemployment – and most pronounced in the bottom of the distribution.

JEL classification:  E24, J30, J62, O57

Full text (PDF 10pp)


Wednesday 23 January 2019

Adult-Life Occupational Exposures: Enriched Environment or a Stressor for the Aging Brain?

Agnieszka Z Burzynska, Yuqin Jiao and Daniel C Ganster (Colorado State University, USA) Work, Aging and Retirement Volume 5 Issue 1 (January 2019)

Abstract

Demographic changes and economic demands of aging populations are raising the age of retirement.

It is common knowledge that one’s occupation is associated with socioeconomic status, and also has a significant impact on physical and mental health. However, research on the long-term effects of employment on cognition and brain health in old age is still rare.

Understanding occupational factors shaping our brains is necessary to develop interventions at the workplace, aimed at optimizing neurocognitive outcomes in old age. This review outlines the emerging empirical research on the relationships between occupational characteristics and cognitive and brain aging.

We propose the “brain aging: occupational stimulation and stress” (BOSS) model that outlines the long-term interplay of antiaging (occupational stimulation or environmental enrichment) and proaging factors (occupational stress) on the development and aging of the adult mind and brain. The BOSS model outlines the mechanisms of the employment–brain relationships that include immune system, cortisol responsivity, neurotrophins, hypertension, and sleep quality.

Existing at the intersection of organizational psychology, developmental sciences, and neuroscience, the BOSS model offers a framework for future “occupational neuroscience” research. We argue that decisions on retirement age should be viewed not only from an economic, but also from a public health perspective.

We conclude that occupational activities need to be acknowledged as an important factor in lifespan cognitive and brain development.


Think you’re bad at math? You may suffer from ‘math trauma’

a post by Jennifer Ruef for the Big Think blog

Even some teachers suffer from anxiety about math.

I teach people how to teach math, and I've been working in this field for 30 years. Across those decades, I've met many people who suffer from varying degrees of math trauma – a form of debilitating mental shutdown when it comes to doing mathematics.

When people share their stories with me, there are common themes. These include someone telling them they were “not good at math," panicking over timed math tests, or getting stuck on some math topic and struggling to move past it. The topics can be as broad as fractions or an entire class, such as Algebra or Geometry.

The notion of who is – and isn't – a math person drives the research I do with my colleagues Shannon Sweeny and Chris Willingham with people earning their teaching degrees.

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 I wonder how different maths teaching is in the UK. It was a subject I loved, I think that was because until you got into experimental mathematics the logic carried through to a right or wrong answer. No in between thinking!


The long‐run effect of childhood poverty and the mediating role of education

an article by Luna Bellani (University of Konstanz and IZA Institute of Labor Economics, , Bonn, Germany; Carlo Dondena Centre for Research on Social Dynamics, Milan, Italy) and Michela Bia (Luxembourg Institute of Socio‐Economic Research, Esch‐sur‐Alzette, Luxembourg) published in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Statistics in Society Series A Volume 182 Issue 1 (January 2019)

Summary

The paper examines the role of education as a causal channel through which growing up poor affects the economic outcomes in adulthood in the European Union.

We apply a potential outcomes approach to quantify those effects and we provide a sensitivity analysis on possible unobserved confounders, such as child ability. Our estimates indicate that being poor in childhood significantly decreases the level of income in adulthood and increases the average probability of being poor.

Moreover, our results reveal a significant role of education in this intergenerational transmission. These results are particularly relevant for Mediterranean and central and eastern European countries.

Full text (PDF 32pp)


Not customers: doctors have patients, libraries have patrons, lawyers have clients and teachers have students

a post by Cory Doctorow for the Boing Boing blog



Professionalization isn't perfect: historically, professional societies "were structured around hierarchies of gender and race and laypeople were expected to obey expert judgment without even asking questions."

But professionals were also organized around ethics of service and morals, with professional standards that required practitioners to use their expertise to further the public good.

Decades of neoliberal marketization has flattened out these service-based ethics, turning every kind of professional into just another kind of business with customers who expect "customer service," and "value for money." When teachers have "students," they are meant to teach those students the truth. But once teachers have "customers," they are expected to teach the things that deliver "satisfaction" -- Young Earth Creationism, eugenics, Lost Cause historical revisionism, and so on.

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The Journey of Mental Health Recovery: Why It's a Good Thing

a post by Julie K Jones for the World of Psychology blog



We are a society that likes results fast. We went from drive-thru lanes at fast-food restaurants to having Uber Eats bring our meal to us. Now, we can pull into a parking spot at the grocery store and have people bring our groceries right out to our car at the designated time. Or we can just have our groceries brought right to our house. Two-day shipping has become the norm and we can obtain entire degrees online without having to inconvenience ourselves with going to class.

There’s no denying, we like things done fast. But, when it comes to mental health, recovery is a journey, not a sprint. It’s full of ups and downs and twists and turns. However, while we are on the journey, we can make plenty of discoveries and find hope along the way.

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Unpicking contemporary thrift: Getting on and getting by in everyday life

an article by Helen Holmes (University of Manchester, UK) published in The Sociological Review Volume 67 Issue 1 (January 2019)

Abstract

This article explores contemporary thrift.

To date scholarly attempts to define thrift are always focused on consumption, centring upon household finances and how thrift revolves around the peaks and troughs of spending and saving.

In this article the author argues that this financial focus ignores the myriad of thrifty practices which occur beyond the point of purchase but which are no less central to thrift. Instead, the author suggests that contemporary thrift occurs within a continuum of motivations which extend far beyond the practice of shopping, and overspill the categories of consumption and production: the extreme points of which are financial necessity, conscience and enjoyment.

Three particular empirical moments of household activity – shopping, cooking and repair and making – are used to illustrate how these motivations to be thrifty overlap, compete and interweave.

In doing so, the author contends that thrift is about value and how value is perceived, produced and released through different contexts, motivations and activities. This article adds to the growing body of scholarly work on the sociology of everyday life, illustrating how thrift encompasses a broad range of activities which are part of the intricacies and intimacies of getting by and getting on in everyday life.