a column by Daniel Treisman for VOX: CEPR’s policy portal
Most research on the transition to democracy tries to explain why autocrats choose to democratise. Based on two centuries of data on democratisation, this column argues, however, that autocratic rulers overwhelmingly create democracies by mistake. Taking these mistakes into account during analysis may improve the predictive or explanatory power of existing models.
Continue reading but be warned. If you have any interest in politics then you will not only be reading this item through to the bottom but also picking up on on some of the linked references. A time waster but … H.
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