Tuesday 16 October 2018

The curiously varied impact of recessions on political stability: New evidence

a column by Nathan Nunn, Nancy Qian and Jaya Wen for VOX: CEPR’s Policy Portal

Cultural values and beliefs have an impact on social and economic development, but the interplay between culture and political institutions is still not well understood.

This column examines the effect of trust on political stability in democratic and non-democratic regimes, specifically in the face of severe economic downturns.

It finds that democratic regimes with high levels of trust are much less likely to experience leader turnover than low-trust countries, while there is no effect among non-democracies, and that countries with higher levels of trust experience faster economic growth in the years immediately following a recession.

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