an article by Ryan Avent published in RSA Journal Issue 4 2016-17
In a paper published in 2014, Carl Benedict Frey and Michael Osborne, of Oxford University, analysed the nature of the tasks involved in different lines of work to gauge their “automatability”. They reckoned that 47% of jobs in the USA are at risk of computerisation in the next few decades.
A paper published by the OECD in 2016 looked instead at the potential for automation of tasks within jobs, rather than of occupational categories as a whole, and concluded that while many workers will see their jobs change as certain tasks are automated away, only about 9% of jobs are fully automatable.
See The Wealth of Humans: Work, Power, and Status in the Twenty-first Century
by Ryan Avent at https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/25663661-the-wealth-of-humans
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