The impact of technological progress on labour markets: policy challenges

an article by Maarten Goos (Utrecht University, the Netherlands) published in Oxford Review of Economic Policy Volume 34 Issue 3 (Autumn 2018)

Abstract

This paper gives an overview of current thinking by economists about the consequences of ongoing technological progress for labour markets, and discusses policy implications.

In economics, the impact of technological progress on labour markets is understood by the following two channels:

1. the nature of interactions between differently skilled workers and new technologies affecting labour demand and
2. the equilibrium effects of technological progress through consequent changes in labour supply and product markets.

The paper explains how the ongoing Digital Revolution is characterized by a complex interplay between worker skills and digital capital in the workplace, and consequent changes in job mobility for workers and in output prices affecting consumer demand for goods and services. In particular, it explains how current worker–technology interactions and the equilibrium effects they entail combine to create economy-wide job polarization with winners and losers from ongoing technological progress.

The paper therefore concludes by discussing a set of policy interventions to ensure that the benefits of the Digital Revolution are broadly shared.

JEL Classification: J24, J28, O30

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